I think Romney will win (G-d willing), and win big, on Tuesday. This is not just wishful thinking. This is due to my following of the polls and dissecting them – one example: every poll that shows Obama ahead and gives the breakdown of Democrat/Republican/Independents in the sample, shows that Obama’s margin is less than the additional Democrats in the sample. Even if you buy into the theory that the turnout of Democrats will be the same as it was in 2008 (which I definitely do not), you can’t help but see that Romney is winning a huge margin of the Independent vote, and there are more Democrats who are not going to vote for Obama than there are Republicans who will not vote for Romney.
I also look at the crowds that Romney is getting, especially in swing states (Colorado, Ohio, and last night in Pennsylvania). I look at the eye opening statistics that many papers have switched their endorsements from Obama in 2008 to Romney now.
I also think that the time honored assumption that when the economy is bad the voters vote for the challenger is correct.
My head and my heart are on the same wavelenght – and I am going to pray a bit too for good measure!!